Actual result
R+14.1
Final polls said
R+29.2
11 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harris Insights & Analytics | R+22.0 | 7.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+25.0 | 10.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | Blum & Weprin Associates | R+26.0 | 11.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | Quinnipiac University | R+29.0 | 14.9 | ✓ |
| 5 | Marist College | R+29.0 | 14.9 | ✓ |
| 6 | Zogby Analytics | R+31.0 | 16.9 | ✓ |
| 7 | Manhattanville College | R+35.0 | 20.9 | ✓ |
| 8 | CBS News/The New York Times | R+35.0 | 20.9 | ✓ |
Polls (18)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 1998-10-30 | 2243 | R+22.0 | 8 |
| Quinnipiac University | 1998-10-29 | 584 | R+29.0 | 15 |
| Blum & Weprin Associates | 1998-10-27 | 662 | R+26.0 | 12 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 1998-10-27 | 808 | R+25.0 | 11 |
| Marist College | 1998-10-26 | 351 | R+29.0 | 15 |
| Manhattanville College | 1998-10-25 | 601 | R+35.0 | 21 |
| CBS News/The New York Times | 1998-10-23 | 639 | R+35.0 | 21 |
| Zogby Analytics | 1998-10-23 | 700 | R+31.0 | 17 |
| Quinnipiac University | 1998-10-22 | 547 | R+33.0 | 19 |
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 1998-10-20 | 1792 | R+24.0 | 10 |
| Zogby Analytics | 1998-10-15 | 706 | R+32.0 | 18 |
| Blum & Weprin Associates | 1998-10-12 | 364 | R+31.0 | 17 |
| Quinnipiac University | 1998-10-09 | 583 | R+29.0 | 15 |
| Manhattanville College | 1998-10-05 | 600 | R+33.0 | 19 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 1998-10-05 | 803 | R+27.0 | 13 |
| CBS News/The New York Times | 1998-10-03 | 1066 | R+28.0 | 14 |
| Marist College | 1998-09-23 | 351 | R+26.0 | 12 |
| Quinnipiac University | 1998-09-19 | 574 | R+27.0 | 13 |