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Toss-up · 1998 Governor

New York Governor

In the 1998 New York Governor race, George Pataki (R) won by about 14 points.

Actual result
R+14.1
Final polls said
R+29.2
11 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
Winner
Rep

"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).

Final rankings

How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).

Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result

#PollsterFinal callMissCalled
1Harris Insights & AnalyticsR+22.07.9
2Mason-Dixon Polling & StrategyR+25.010.9
3Blum & Weprin AssociatesR+26.011.9
4Quinnipiac UniversityR+29.014.9
5Marist CollegeR+29.014.9
6Zogby AnalyticsR+31.016.9
7Manhattanville CollegeR+35.020.9
8CBS News/The New York TimesR+35.020.9

The polls behind it

18 polls · newest first
PollsterDateMiss
Harris Insights & Analytics1998-10-308
Quinnipiac University1998-10-2915
Blum & Weprin Associates1998-10-2712
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy1998-10-2711
Marist College1998-10-2615

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 1998 New York Governor race?

George Pataki (R) won, by about 14.1 points (R+14.1).

When was the 1998 New York Governor election held?

It was held in November 1998.

Which party matches you?

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