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New York 2026 elections
Everything on New York's 2026 ballot and in its congressional delegation, in one place: the Governor race, 5 competitive U.S. House districts, 2 senators and 26 representatives — each with a daily-updated forecast or voting record.
Statewide races
Competitive House districts (5)
District forecasts are fundamentals-based — presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment — with district polling blended in where it exists. Click one to see why.
No district polls yet, so this is a fundamentals forecast. The district's 2024 presidential lean is R+4.0, held by Tom Suozzi (D). From lean and incumbency the model's baseline is R+0.9; the 2026 national environment (generic ballot D+7.3) shifts every district 3.6 points toward Democrats, giving a predicted D+2.7 — a 74% Democratic win. Full race details →
A fundamentals forecast blended with 3 district polls. The district's 2024 presidential lean is D+1.0, held by Mike Lawler (R). From lean and incumbency the model's baseline is D+1.8; the 2026 national environment (generic ballot D+7.3) shifts every district 3.6 points toward Democrats; blended with the polling, the predicted margin is D+3.0 — a 71% Democratic win. Full race details →
No district polls yet, so this is a fundamentals forecast. The district's 2024 presidential lean is R+10.0, held by Nick LaLota (R). From lean and incumbency the model's baseline is R+6.9; the 2026 national environment (generic ballot D+7.3) shifts every district 3.6 points toward Democrats, giving a predicted R+3.3 — a 76% Republican win. Full race details →
No district polls yet, so this is a fundamentals forecast. The district's 2024 presidential lean is R+14.0, held by Andrew Garbarino (R). From lean and incumbency the model's baseline is R+10.9; the 2026 national environment (generic ballot D+7.3) shifts every district 3.6 points toward Democrats, giving a predicted R+7.3 — a 89% Republican win. Full race details →
No district polls yet, so this is a fundamentals forecast. The district's 2024 presidential lean is D+1.0, held by Laura Gillen (D). From lean and incumbency the model's baseline is D+4.1; the 2026 national environment (generic ballot D+7.3) shifts every district 3.6 points toward Democrats, giving a predicted D+7.7 — a 90% Democratic win. Full race details →
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives (26)
Nick LaLotaR · District 1Andrew R. GarbarinoR · District 2Thomas R. SuozziD · District 3Laura GillenD · District 4Gregory W. MeeksD · District 5Grace MengD · District 6Nydia M. VelázquezD · District 7Hakeem S. JeffriesD · District 8Yvette D. ClarkeD · District 9Daniel S. GoldmanD · District 10Nicole MalliotakisR · District 11Jerrold NadlerD · District 12Adriano EspaillatD · District 13Alexandria Ocasio-CortezD · District 14Ritchie TorresD · District 15George LatimerD · District 16Michael LawlerR · District 17Patrick RyanD · District 18Josh RileyD · District 19Paul TonkoD · District 20Elise M. StefanikR · District 21John W. MannionD · District 22Nicholas A. LangworthyR · District 23Claudia TenneyR · District 24Joseph D. MorelleD · District 25Timothy M. KennedyD · District 26
Past results
Every U.S. Senate election in New York we hold a result for. Both of the state's Senate seats, which are elected on separate cycles.
YearWinnerMargin
Past results
Every New York election for governor we hold a result for.
YearWinnerMargin