Actual result
R+21.0
Final polls said
R+32.5
2 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee Institute for Survey and Policy Research | R+24.0 | 3.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | St. Norbert College Strategic Research Institute | R+35.0 | 14.0 | ✓ |
| 3 | Market Shares Corp. | R+41.0 | 20.0 | ✓ |
Polls (4)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Shares Corp. | 1998-10-23 | 600 | R+41.0 | 20 |
| University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee Institute for Survey and Policy Research | 1998-10-15 | 269 | R+24.0 | 3 |
| St. Norbert College Strategic Research Institute | 1998-10-14 | 415 | R+35.0 | 14 |
| St. Norbert College Strategic Research Institute | 1998-10-01 | 417 | R+38.0 | 17 |