Wisconsin 2026 elections
Everything on Wisconsin's 2026 ballot and in its congressional delegation, in one place: the Governor race, 2 competitive U.S. House districts, and its 2 senators and 8 representatives — each with a daily-updated forecast or voting record.
Statewide races
Competitive House districts (2)
District forecasts are fundamentals-based (no district polls yet) — presidential lean, incumbency, and the national environment. Click one to see why.
WI-1Bryan Steil (R) · incumbent · pres lean R+4.2Toss-up53% · R+0.5
No district polls yet, so this is a fundamentals forecast. The district's 2024 presidential lean is R+4.2, held by Bryan Steil (R). From lean and incumbency the model's baseline is R+5.4; the 2026 national environment (generic ballot D+5.2) shifts every district 4.9 points toward Democrats, giving a predicted R+0.5 — a 53% Republican win.
WI-3Derrick Van Orden (R) · incumbent · pres lean R+6.5Toss-up55% · D+0.9
No district polls yet, so this is a fundamentals forecast. The district's 2024 presidential lean is R+6.5, held by Derrick Van Orden (R). From lean and incumbency the model's baseline is R+4.0; the 2026 national environment (generic ballot D+5.2) shifts every district 4.9 points toward Democrats, giving a predicted D+0.9 — a 55% Democratic win.