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Toss-up · 1998 House
New Mexico House
In the 1998 New Mexico House race, Tom Udall (D) won by about 10 points.
Actual result
D+9.9
Final polls said
D+8.0
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zogby Analytics | D+13.0 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+3.0 | 6.9 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy1998-10-257
Zogby Analytics1998-10-253
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 1998 New Mexico House race?
Tom Udall (D) won, by about 9.9 points (D+9.9).
When was the 1998 New Mexico House election held?
It was held in November 1998.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.