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Toss-up · 1998 Senate
Arizona Senate
In the 1998 Arizona Senate race, John McCain (R) won by about 42 points.
Actual result
R+41.6
Final polls said
R+42.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll) | R+42.0 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Harris Insights & Analytics | R+37.0 | 4.6 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Harris Insights & Analytics1998-10-305
Harris Insights & Analytics1998-10-206
Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll)1998-10-140
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 1998 Arizona Senate race?
John McCain (R) won, by about 41.6 points (R+41.6).
When was the 1998 Arizona Senate election held?
It was held in November 1998.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.