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Toss-up · 1998 Senate
California Senate
In the 1998 California Senate race, Barbara Boxer (D) won by about 10 points.
Actual result
D+10.1
Final polls said
D+4.8
6 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | D+10.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Field Research Corp. (Field Poll) | D+9.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | Los Angeles Times | D+5.0 | 5.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | Public Policy Institute of California | D+3.0 | 7.1 | ✓ |
| 5 | Harris Insights & Analytics | D+2.0 | 8.1 | ✓ |
| 6 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+2.0 | 8.1 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
12 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA1998-11-010
Harris Insights & Analytics1998-10-308
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy1998-10-278
Field Research Corp. (Field Poll)1998-10-241
Harris Insights & Analytics1998-10-209
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 1998 California Senate race?
Barbara Boxer (D) won, by about 10.1 points (D+10.1).
When was the 1998 California Senate election held?
It was held in November 1998.