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Toss-up · 1998 Senate
New York Senate
In the 1998 New York Senate race, Charles E. Schumer (D) won by about 14 points.
Actual result
D+14.2
Final polls said
D+2.3
17 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quinnipiac University | D+8.0 | 6.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | Manhattanville College | D+8.0 | 6.2 | ✓ |
| 3 | SurveyUSA | D+5.0 | 9.2 | ✓ |
| 4 | Harris Insights & Analytics | D+4.0 | 10.2 | ✓ |
| 5 | Blum & Weprin Associates | D+4.0 | 10.2 | ✓ |
| 6 | Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group | D+4.0 | 10.2 | ✓ |
| 7 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+3.0 | 11.2 | ✓ |
| 8 | Marist College | D+3.0 | 11.2 | ✓ |
| 9 | CBS News/The New York Times | EVEN | 14.2 | ✗ |
| 10 | Zogby Analytics | R+0.8 | 15.0 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
27 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Zogby Analytics1998-10-3115
Harris Insights & Analytics1998-10-3010
Quinnipiac University1998-10-296
Zogby Analytics1998-10-2810
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy1998-10-2711
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 1998 New York Senate race?
Charles E. Schumer (D) won, by about 14.2 points (D+14.2).
When was the 1998 New York Senate election held?
It was held in November 1998.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.