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Toss-up · 1998 Senate
Pennsylvania Senate
In the 1998 Pennsylvania Senate race, Arlen Specter (R) won by about 27 points.
Actual result
R+26.6
Final polls said
R+32.5
4 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+23.0 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | Harris Insights & Analytics | R+31.0 | 4.4 | ✓ |
| 3 | Millersville University Center for Politics and Public Affairs | R+44.0 | 17.4 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Harris Insights & Analytics1998-10-304
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy1998-10-264
Millersville University Center for Politics and Public Affairs1998-10-2517
Harris Insights & Analytics1998-10-205
Millersville University Center for Politics and Public Affairs1998-09-252
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 1998 Pennsylvania Senate race?
Arlen Specter (R) won, by about 26.6 points (R+26.6).
When was the 1998 Pennsylvania Senate election held?
It was held in November 1998.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.