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Toss-up · 1998 Senate
Pennsylvania Senate
In the 1998 Pennsylvania Senate race, Arlen Specter (R) won by about 27 points.
Actual result
R+26.6
Final polls said
R+32.5
4 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+23.0 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | Harris Insights & Analytics | R+31.0 | 4.4 | ✓ |
| 3 | Millersville University Center for Politics and Public Affairs | R+44.0 | 17.4 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Harris Insights & Analytics1998-10-304
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy1998-10-264
Millersville University Center for Politics and Public Affairs1998-10-2517
Harris Insights & Analytics1998-10-205
Millersville University Center for Politics and Public Affairs1998-09-252
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 1998 Pennsylvania Senate race?
Arlen Specter (R) won, by about 26.6 points (R+26.6).
When was the 1998 Pennsylvania Senate election held?
It was held in November 1998.