Actual result
D+2.1
Final polls said
EVEN
3 late polls · ✗
Model predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee Institute for Survey and Policy Research | D+2.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | FM3 Research | D+1.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | St. Norbert College Strategic Research Institute | D+7.0 | 4.8 | ✓ |
| 4 | Market Shares Corp. | R+3.0 | 5.2 | ✗ |
Polls (4)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Shares Corp. | 1998-10-23 | 600 | R+3.0 | 5 |
| FM3 Research | 1998-10-21 | 599 | D+1.0 | 1 |
| University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee Institute for Survey and Policy Research | 1998-10-15 | 286 | D+2.0 | 0 |
| St. Norbert College Strategic Research Institute | 1998-10-14 | 415 | D+7.0 | 5 |