Actual result
D+5.8
Final polls said
D+4.2
5 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+7.0 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+2.0 | 3.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | Harris Insights & Analytics | D+10.0 | 4.2 | ✓ |
| 4 | SurveyUSA | D+1.0 | 4.8 | ✓ |
Polls (7)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA | 2000-11-04 | 500 | D+1.0 | 5 |
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-11-03 | 6696 | D+10.0 | 4 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-11-01 | 1163 | D+2.0 | 4 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-10-29 | 625 | D+7.0 | 1 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-10-28 | 500 | D+1.0 | 5 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-10-07 | 500 | D+5.0 | 1 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-10-07 | 625 | D+13.0 | 7 |