Actual result
D+5.0
Final polls said
D+7.8
5 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+5.0 | 0.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | University of New Hampshire Survey Center | D+6.0 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 3 | Harris Insights & Analytics | D+8.0 | 3.0 | ✓ |
| 4 | American Research Group | R+1.0 | 6.0 | ✗ |
| 5 | Franklin Pierce University Marlin Fitzwater Center for Communication | D+21.0 | 16.0 | ✓ |
Polls (10)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-11-03 | 1388 | D+8.0 | 3 |
| University of New Hampshire Survey Center | 2000-11-03 | 801 | D+6.0 | 1 |
| American Research Group | 2000-11-01 | 600 | R+1.0 | 6 |
| Franklin Pierce University Marlin Fitzwater Center for Communication | 2000-10-24 | 885 | D+21.0 | 16 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-10-22 | 1338 | D+5.0 | 0 |
| University of New Hampshire Survey Center | 2000-10-09 | 801 | D+19.0 | 14 |
| American Research Group | 2000-10-07 | 600 | D+14.0 | 9 |
| Franklin Pierce University Marlin Fitzwater Center for Communication | 2000-10-03 | 885 | D+11.0 | 6 |
| American Research Group | 2000-09-19 | 600 | D+2.0 | 3 |
| University of New Hampshire Survey Center | 2000-09-09 | 801 | D+13.0 | 8 |