Actual result
D+6.8
Final polls said
D+4.0
2 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FM3 Research | D+11.0 | 4.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | California State University, Bakersfield | R+3.0 | 9.8 | ✗ |
Polls (2)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FM3 Research | 2000-10-23 | 400 | D+11.0 | 4 |
| California State University, Bakersfield | 2000-10-20 | 483 | R+3.0 | 10 |