VotePredictor
past elections

Florida House

Linda Welch Chapin (D) vs Richard Keller (R)

Actual result
R+1.6
Final polls said
R+6.3
4 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
Winner
Rep

"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).

Final rankings

How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).

Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result

#PollsterFinal callMissCalled
1Voter/Consumer ResearchR+6.04.4
2Mason-Dixon Polling & StrategyD+5.06.6
3SurveyUSAR+12.010.4
4Zogby AnalyticsR+12.010.4

Polls (4)

PollsterDatenPollMiss
SurveyUSA2000-11-01500R+12.010
Voter/Consumer Research2000-10-30400R+6.04
Zogby Analytics2000-10-29400R+12.010
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2000-10-21426D+5.07