Actual result
R+18.0
Final polls said
R+10.0
3 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dynamics Marketing | R+15.0 | 3.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | Decision Forecasting | R+8.0 | 10.0 | ✓ |
| 3 | SurveyUSA | R+7.0 | 11.0 | ✓ |
Polls (3)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Decision Forecasting | 2000-10-26 | 426 | R+8.0 | 10 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-10-23 | 800 | R+7.0 | 11 |
| Dynamics Marketing | 2000-10-22 | 416 | R+15.0 | 3 |