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Toss-up · 2000 President
Arizona President
In the 2000 Arizona President race, George W. Bush (R) won by about 6 points.
Actual result
R+6.3
Final polls said
R+10.8
5 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | American Research Group | R+4.0 | 2.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | Northern Arizona University Social Research Laboratory | R+9.0 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 3 | Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll) | R+3.0 | 3.3 | ✓ |
| 4 | Market Solutions Group | R+10.0 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 5 | SurveyUSA | R+10.0 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 6 | Arizona State University Morrison Institute for Public Policy | R+10.0 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 7 | Harris Insights & Analytics | R+12.0 | 5.7 | ✓ |
| 8 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+12.0 | 5.7 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
11 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Harris Insights & Analytics2000-11-036
Market Solutions Group2000-10-304
SurveyUSA2000-10-294
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2000-10-216
Arizona State University Morrison Institute for Public Policy2000-10-214
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2000 Arizona President race?
George W. Bush (R) won, by about 6.3 points (R+6.3).
When was the 2000 Arizona President election held?
It was held in November 2000.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.