← all past elections
Toss-up · 2000 President
Arizona President
In the 2000 Arizona President race, George W. Bush (R) won by about 6 points.
Actual result
R+6.3
Final polls said
R+10.8
5 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | American Research Group | R+4.0 | 2.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | Northern Arizona University Social Research Laboratory | R+9.0 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 3 | Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll) | R+3.0 | 3.3 | ✓ |
| 4 | Market Solutions Group | R+10.0 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 5 | SurveyUSA | R+10.0 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 6 | Arizona State University Morrison Institute for Public Policy | R+10.0 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 7 | Harris Insights & Analytics | R+12.0 | 5.7 | ✓ |
| 8 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+12.0 | 5.7 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
11 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Harris Insights & Analytics2000-11-036
Market Solutions Group2000-10-304
SurveyUSA2000-10-294
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2000-10-216
Arizona State University Morrison Institute for Public Policy2000-10-214
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2000 Arizona President race?
George W. Bush (R) won, by about 6.3 points (R+6.3).
When was the 2000 Arizona President election held?
It was held in November 2000.