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Toss-up · 2000 President
Florida President
In the 2000 Florida President race, George W. Bush (R) won by less than a point.
Actual result
EVEN
Final polls said
D+1.8
16 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | University of Connecticut | EVEN | 0.0 | ✗ |
| 2 | McLaughlin & Associates | R+1.0 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 3 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+2.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 4 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+2.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 5 | Zogby Analytics | D+2.0 | 2.0 | ✗ |
| 6 | Harris Insights & Analytics | D+3.0 | 3.0 | ✗ |
| 7 | SEA Polling & Strategic Design | D+3.0 | 3.0 | ✗ |
| 8 | Los Angeles Times | R+4.0 | 4.0 | ✓ |
| 9 | Tarrance Group | R+4.0 | 4.0 | ✓ |
| 10 | Fleming & Associates | R+5.0 | 5.0 | ✓ |
| 11 | SurveyUSA | D+5.0 | 5.0 | ✗ |
| 12 | American Research Group | D+5.0 | 5.0 | ✗ |
| 13 | CBS News/The New York Times | D+5.0 | 5.0 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
27 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2000-11-055
Zogby Analytics2000-11-052
Harris Insights & Analytics2000-11-033
Zogby Analytics2000-11-021
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2000-11-012
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2000 Florida President race?
George W. Bush (R) won, by about 0.0 points (EVEN).
When was the 2000 Florida President election held?
It was held in November 2000.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.