Actual result
EVEN
Final polls said
D+1.8
16 late polls · ✗
Model predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | University of Connecticut | EVEN | 0.0 | ✗ |
| 2 | McLaughlin & Associates | R+1.0 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 3 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+2.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 4 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+2.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 5 | Zogby Analytics | D+2.0 | 2.0 | ✗ |
| 6 | Harris Insights & Analytics | D+3.0 | 3.0 | ✗ |
| 7 | SEA Polling & Strategic Design | D+3.0 | 3.0 | ✗ |
| 8 | Los Angeles Times | R+4.0 | 4.0 | ✓ |
| 9 | Tarrance Group | R+4.0 | 4.0 | ✓ |
| 10 | Fleming & Associates | R+5.0 | 5.0 | ✓ |
| 11 | SurveyUSA | D+5.0 | 5.0 | ✗ |
| 12 | American Research Group | D+5.0 | 5.0 | ✗ |
| 13 | CBS News/The New York Times | D+5.0 | 5.0 | ✗ |
Polls (27)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA | 2000-11-05 | 500 | D+5.0 | 5 |
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-11-05 | 593 | D+2.0 | 2 |
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-11-03 | 17033 | D+3.0 | 3 |
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-11-02 | 600 | D+1.0 | 1 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-11-01 | 577 | R+2.0 | 2 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-11-01 | 500 | D+5.0 | 5 |
| American Research Group | 2000-10-31 | 600 | D+5.0 | 5 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-10-30 | 812 | R+2.0 | 2 |
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-10-30 | 600 | D+7.0 | 7 |
| Los Angeles Times | 2000-10-28 | 401 | R+4.0 | 4 |
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-10-27 | 600 | D+7.0 | 7 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-10-25 | 864 | R+1.0 | 1 |
| CBS News/The New York Times | 2000-10-23 | 514 | D+5.0 | 5 |
| American Research Group | 2000-10-22 | 600 | D+4.0 | 4 |
| Fleming & Associates | 2000-10-20 | 606 | R+5.0 | 5 |
| McLaughlin & Associates | 2000-10-17 | 600 | R+1.0 | 1 |
| American Research Group | 2000-10-14 | 600 | D+2.0 | 2 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-10-14 | 500 | R+3.0 | 3 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-10-06 | 807 | R+3.0 | 3 |
| SEA Polling & Strategic Design | 2000-10-05 | 600 | D+3.0 | 3 |
| Tarrance Group | 2000-10-04 | 600 | R+4.0 | 4 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-09-23 | 500 | D+2.0 | 2 |
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-09-13 | 3664 | D+9.0 | 9 |
| American Research Group | 2000-09-13 | 600 | D+3.0 | 3 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-09-10 | 803 | R+2.0 | 2 |
| University of Connecticut | 2000-09-09 | 505 | EVEN | 0 |
| Fleming & Associates | 2000-09-09 | 609 | D+2.0 | 2 |