Actual result
D+0.3
Final polls said
D+0.2
5 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | EVEN | 0.3 | ✗ |
| 2 | Selzer & Co. | D+2.0 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 3 | PSI | R+3.0 | 3.3 | ✗ |
| 4 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+4.0 | 4.3 | ✗ |
| 5 | Harris Insights & Analytics | D+6.0 | 5.7 | ✓ |
| 6 | American Research Group | D+7.0 | 6.7 | ✓ |
Polls (8)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-11-03 | 2478 | D+6.0 | 6 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-11-02 | 1000 | R+4.0 | 4 |
| Selzer & Co. | 2000-11-01 | 805 | D+2.0 | 2 |
| PSI | 2000-10-31 | 500 | R+3.0 | 3 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-10-29 | 500 | EVEN | 0 |
| PSI | 2000-09-25 | 400 | D+2.0 | 2 |
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-09-13 | 694 | D+7.0 | 7 |
| American Research Group | 2000-09-13 | 600 | D+7.0 | 7 |