Iowa 2026 elections
Everything on Iowa's 2026 ballot and in its congressional delegation, in one place: the Senate and Governor races, 2 competitive U.S. House districts, and its 2 senators and 4 representatives — each with a daily-updated forecast or voting record.
Statewide races
Competitive House districts (2)
District forecasts are fundamentals-based (no district polls yet) — presidential lean, incumbency, and the national environment. Click one to see why.
IA-1Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R) · incumbent · pres lean R+6.8Toss-up59% · D+1.6
No district polls yet, so this is a fundamentals forecast. The district's 2024 presidential lean is R+6.8, held by Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R). From lean and incumbency the model's baseline is R+3.3; the 2026 national environment (generic ballot D+5.2) shifts every district 4.9 points toward Democrats, giving a predicted D+1.6 — a 59% Democratic win.
IA-3Zach Nunn (R) · incumbent · pres lean R+3.1Likely D86% · D+7.5
No district polls yet, so this is a fundamentals forecast. The district's 2024 presidential lean is R+3.1, held by Zach Nunn (R). From lean and incumbency the model's baseline is D+2.6; the 2026 national environment (generic ballot D+5.2) shifts every district 4.9 points toward Democrats, giving a predicted D+7.5 — a 86% Democratic win.