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Iowa 2026 elections
Everything on Iowa's 2026 ballot and in its congressional delegation, in one place: the Senate and Governor races, 3 competitive U.S. House districts, 2 senators and 4 representatives — each with a daily-updated forecast or voting record.
Statewide races
Competitive House districts (3)
District forecasts are fundamentals-based — presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment — with district polling blended in where it exists. Click one to see why.
A fundamentals forecast blended with 1 district poll. The district's 2024 presidential lean is R+8.0, held by Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R). From lean and incumbency the model's baseline is R+7.2; the 2026 national environment (generic ballot D+6.8) shifts every district 3.0 points toward Democrats; blended with the polling, the predicted margin is R+0.6 — a 54% Republican win. Full race details →
A fundamentals forecast blended with 2 district polls. The district's 2024 presidential lean is R+10.0, held by Ashley Hinson (R). From lean and incumbency the model's baseline is R+6.8; the 2026 national environment (generic ballot D+6.8) shifts every district 3.0 points toward Democrats; blended with the polling, the predicted margin is R+0.7 — a 55% Republican win. Full race details →
No district polls yet, so this is a fundamentals forecast. The district's 2024 presidential lean is R+4.0, held by Zach Nunn (R). From lean and incumbency the model's baseline is R+0.9; the 2026 national environment (generic ballot D+6.8) shifts every district 3.0 points toward Democrats, giving a predicted D+2.1 — a 51% Republican win. Full race details →
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives (4)
Past results
Every U.S. Senate election in Iowa we hold a result for. Both of the state's Senate seats, which are elected on separate cycles.
YearWinnerMargin
Past results
Every Iowa election for governor we hold a result for.
YearWinnerMargin