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Iowa 2026 elections

Everything on Iowa's 2026 ballot and in its congressional delegation, in one place: the Senate and Governor races, 2 competitive U.S. House districts, 2 senators and 4 representatives — each with a daily-updated forecast or voting record.

Statewide races

Competitive House districts (2)

District forecasts are fundamentals-based (no district polls yet) — presidential lean, incumbency, and the national environment. Click one to see why.

Toss-up
64% · R+2.5
No district polls yet, so this is a fundamentals forecast. The district's 2024 presidential lean is R+3.1, held by Zach Nunn (R). From lean and incumbency the model's baseline is R+4.1; the 2026 national environment (generic ballot D+5.3) shifts every district 1.6 points toward Democrats, giving a predicted R+2.5 — a 64% Republican win. Full race details →
Lean R
67% · R+3.1
No district polls yet, so this is a fundamentals forecast. The district's 2024 presidential lean is R+6.8, held by Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R). From lean and incumbency the model's baseline is R+4.7; the 2026 national environment (generic ballot D+5.3) shifts every district 1.6 points toward Democrats, giving a predicted R+3.1 — a 67% Republican win. Full race details →

U.S. Senators

U.S. Representatives (4)

Past results

Every U.S. Senate election in Iowa we hold a result for. Both of the state's Senate seats, which are elected on separate cycles.

Past results

Every Iowa election for governor we hold a result for.

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