Actual result
D+5.1
Final polls said
D+1.9
23 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harris Insights & Analytics | D+5.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Mitchell Research & Communications | D+5.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | Zogby Analytics | D+6.0 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | CBS News/The New York Times | D+6.0 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 5 | American Research Group | D+4.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 6 | Los Angeles Times | D+4.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 7 | Opinion Dynamics | D+3.0 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 8 | Market Shares Corp. | D+2.0 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 9 | EPIC-MRA | D+1.0 | 4.1 | ✓ |
| 10 | Lake Research Partners/The Tarrance Group | D+1.0 | 4.1 | ✓ |
| 11 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+1.0 | 6.1 | ✗ |
| 12 | Hill Research Consultants | R+1.0 | 6.1 | ✗ |
| 13 | SurveyUSA | R+2.0 | 7.1 | ✗ |
| 14 | Marketing Resource Group (MRG) | R+6.0 | 11.1 | ✗ |
| 15 | Ethridge & Associates LLC | R+14.0 | 19.1 | ✗ |
Polls (37)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-11-05 | 593 | D+6.0 | 1 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-11-04 | 600 | R+2.0 | 7 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-11-04 | 787 | R+1.0 | 6 |
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-11-03 | 8757 | D+5.0 | 0 |
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-11-02 | 600 | D+9.0 | 4 |
| Mitchell Research & Communications | 2000-11-01 | 800 | D+5.0 | 0 |
| EPIC-MRA | 2000-11-01 | 500 | D+1.0 | 4 |
| American Research Group | 2000-10-31 | 600 | D+4.0 | 1 |
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-10-30 | 600 | D+9.0 | 4 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-10-29 | 956 | EVEN | 5 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-10-28 | 600 | D+4.0 | 1 |
| Los Angeles Times | 2000-10-28 | 401 | D+4.0 | 1 |
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-10-27 | 603 | D+1.0 | 4 |
| Marketing Resource Group (MRG) | 2000-10-25 | 500 | R+6.0 | 11 |
| Opinion Dynamics | 2000-10-25 | 600 | D+3.0 | 2 |
| EPIC-MRA | 2000-10-24 | 600 | R+2.0 | 7 |
| Lake Research Partners/The Tarrance Group | 2000-10-24 | 400 | D+1.0 | 4 |
| Mitchell Research & Communications | 2000-10-24 | 600 | EVEN | 5 |
| Hill Research Consultants | 2000-10-23 | 550 | R+1.0 | 6 |
| American Research Group | 2000-10-22 | 600 | D+3.0 | 2 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-10-21 | 600 | D+1.0 | 4 |
| EPIC-MRA | 2000-10-18 | 600 | EVEN | 5 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-10-18 | 626 | EVEN | 5 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-10-14 | 600 | EVEN | 5 |
| Marketing Resource Group (MRG) | 2000-10-11 | 500 | R+1.0 | 6 |
| Mitchell Research & Communications | 2000-10-11 | 581 | R+1.0 | 6 |
| EPIC-MRA | 2000-10-11 | 600 | R+3.0 | 8 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-09-30 | 600 | D+7.0 | 2 |
| EPIC-MRA | 2000-09-27 | 600 | R+6.0 | 11 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-09-24 | 600 | D+12.0 | 7 |
| CBS News/The New York Times | 2000-09-24 | 1005 | D+6.0 | 1 |
| Market Shares Corp. | 2000-09-14 | 500 | D+2.0 | 3 |
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-09-13 | 1458 | D+10.0 | 5 |
| American Research Group | 2000-09-13 | 600 | D+8.0 | 3 |
| Marketing Resource Group (MRG) | 2000-09-11 | 500 | D+3.0 | 2 |
| EPIC-MRA | 2000-09-10 | 600 | R+8.0 | 13 |
| Ethridge & Associates LLC | 2000-09-08 | 300 | R+14.0 | 19 |