Actual result
D+2.4
Final polls said
D+2.0
5 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harris Insights & Analytics | D+3.0 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+3.0 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | St. Cloud State University | R+3.0 | 5.4 | ✗ |
| 4 | American Research Group | D+8.0 | 5.6 | ✓ |
| 5 | Minneapolis Star Tribune | D+10.0 | 7.6 | ✓ |
Polls (9)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-11-03 | 3796 | D+3.0 | 1 |
| Minneapolis Star Tribune | 2000-11-02 | 1015 | D+10.0 | 8 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-10-26 | 625 | D+3.0 | 1 |
| St. Cloud State University | 2000-10-19 | 514 | R+3.0 | 5 |
| Minneapolis Star Tribune | 2000-10-16 | 814 | R+3.0 | 5 |
| Minneapolis Star Tribune | 2000-09-25 | 833 | D+6.0 | 4 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-09-24 | 627 | D+7.0 | 5 |
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-09-13 | 1071 | D+10.0 | 8 |
| American Research Group | 2000-09-13 | 600 | D+8.0 | 6 |