Actual result
R+12.8
Final polls said
R+10.4
5 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+10.0 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | SurveyUSA | R+17.0 | 4.2 | ✓ |
| 3 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+7.0 | 5.8 | ✓ |
| 4 | Harris Insights & Analytics | R+5.0 | 7.8 | ✓ |
| 5 | American Research Group | R+1.0 | 11.8 | ✓ |
Polls (10)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA | 2000-11-04 | 500 | R+17.0 | 4 |
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-11-03 | 6704 | R+5.0 | 8 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-11-01 | 1163 | R+10.0 | 3 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-10-29 | 625 | R+7.0 | 6 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-10-28 | 500 | R+13.0 | 0 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-10-07 | 625 | R+4.0 | 9 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-10-07 | 500 | R+15.0 | 2 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-09-15 | 620 | R+5.0 | 8 |
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-09-13 | 1297 | R+5.0 | 8 |
| American Research Group | 2000-09-13 | 600 | R+1.0 | 12 |