Actual result
D+0.1
Final polls said
D+0.7
3 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | EVEN | 0.1 | ✗ |
| 2 | New Mexico State University | EVEN | 0.1 | ✗ |
| 3 | Research & Polling Inc. | R+3.0 | 3.1 | ✗ |
| 4 | Harris Insights & Analytics | D+5.0 | 4.9 | ✓ |
| 5 | American Research Group | D+6.0 | 5.9 | ✓ |
Polls (8)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-11-03 | 1657 | D+5.0 | 5 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-11-01 | 625 | EVEN | 0 |
| Research & Polling Inc. | 2000-11-01 | 769 | R+3.0 | 3 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-09-29 | 422 | R+3.0 | 3 |
| New Mexico State University | 2000-09-27 | 600 | EVEN | 0 |
| American Research Group | 2000-09-13 | 600 | D+6.0 | 6 |
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-09-13 | 608 | D+3.0 | 3 |
| Research & Polling Inc. | 2000-09-10 | 553 | R+1.0 | 1 |