Actual result
D+24.2
Final polls said
D+17.3
18 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | American Research Group | D+25.0 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | Quinnipiac University | D+21.0 | 3.2 | ✓ |
| 3 | Blum & Weprin Associates | D+20.0 | 4.2 | ✓ |
| 4 | CBS News/The New York Times | D+20.0 | 4.2 | ✓ |
| 5 | Zogby Analytics | D+19.0 | 5.2 | ✓ |
| 6 | SurveyUSA | D+19.0 | 5.2 | ✓ |
| 7 | Marist College | D+18.0 | 6.2 | ✓ |
| 8 | Harris Insights & Analytics | D+15.0 | 9.2 | ✓ |
| 9 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+14.0 | 10.2 | ✓ |
| 10 | Princeton Survey Research Associates International | D+13.0 | 11.2 | ✓ |
Polls (33)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-11-05 | 689 | D+19.0 | 5 |
| Marist College | 2000-11-04 | 580 | D+18.0 | 6 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-11-04 | 680 | D+14.0 | 10 |
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-11-03 | 13590 | D+15.0 | 9 |
| Quinnipiac University | 2000-11-03 | 979 | D+21.0 | 3 |
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-11-02 | 700 | D+14.0 | 10 |
| Blum & Weprin Associates | 2000-11-02 | 851 | D+20.0 | 4 |
| Blum & Weprin Associates | 2000-11-01 | 883 | D+24.0 | 0 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-11-01 | 500 | D+19.0 | 5 |
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-10-30 | 700 | D+15.0 | 9 |
| Princeton Survey Research Associates International | 2000-10-30 | 844 | D+13.0 | 11 |
| Marist College | 2000-10-29 | 516 | D+14.0 | 10 |
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-10-27 | 700 | D+14.0 | 10 |
| Quinnipiac University | 2000-10-27 | 709 | D+21.0 | 3 |
| CBS News/The New York Times | 2000-10-27 | 871 | D+20.0 | 4 |
| Blum & Weprin Associates | 2000-10-24 | 844 | D+24.0 | 0 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-10-23 | 500 | D+15.0 | 9 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-10-22 | 781 | D+11.0 | 13 |
| Princeton Survey Research Associates International | 2000-10-13 | 795 | D+29.0 | 5 |
| Marist College | 2000-10-10 | 473 | D+18.0 | 6 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-10-08 | 500 | D+12.0 | 12 |
| Blum & Weprin Associates | 2000-10-03 | 850 | D+22.0 | 2 |
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-09-30 | 702 | D+16.0 | 8 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-09-27 | 500 | D+21.0 | 3 |
| Princeton Survey Research Associates International | 2000-09-25 | 851 | D+29.0 | 5 |
| Quinnipiac University | 2000-09-22 | 889 | D+20.0 | 4 |
| Marist College | 2000-09-19 | 480 | D+25.0 | 1 |
| American Research Group | 2000-09-13 | 600 | D+25.0 | 1 |
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-09-13 | 2883 | D+22.0 | 2 |
| Blum & Weprin Associates | 2000-09-12 | 709 | D+21.0 | 3 |
| Blum & Weprin Associates | 2000-09-09 | 850 | D+27.0 | 3 |
| Marist College | 2000-09-08 | 480 | D+27.0 | 3 |
| Quinnipiac University | 2000-09-07 | 803 | D+27.0 | 3 |