Actual result
R+3.5
Final polls said
R+7.0
12 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zogby Analytics | R+3.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Harris Insights & Analytics | R+3.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | American Research Group | R+2.0 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 4 | EPIC-MRA | R+2.0 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 5 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+6.0 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 6 | SurveyUSA | R+7.0 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 7 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+9.0 | 5.5 | ✓ |
| 8 | Ohio State University | D+2.0 | 5.5 | ✗ |
| 9 | Ohio University | D+2.0 | 5.5 | ✗ |
| 10 | Market Shares Corp. | D+2.0 | 5.5 | ✗ |
| 11 | University of Cincinnati (Ohio Poll) | R+10.0 | 6.5 | ✓ |
| 12 | Columbus Dispatch | R+10.0 | 6.5 | ✓ |
Polls (22)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-11-05 | 589 | R+3.0 | 1 |
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-11-03 | 10975 | R+3.0 | 1 |
| University of Cincinnati (Ohio Poll) | 2000-11-03 | 1273 | R+10.0 | 6 |
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-11-02 | 600 | R+10.0 | 6 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-11-01 | 625 | R+6.0 | 2 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-11-01 | 500 | R+7.0 | 3 |
| Columbus Dispatch | 2000-10-31 | 2050 | R+10.0 | 6 |
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-10-30 | 600 | R+8.0 | 4 |
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-10-27 | 600 | R+6.0 | 2 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-10-23 | 929 | R+9.0 | 5 |
| University of Cincinnati (Ohio Poll) | 2000-10-22 | 666 | R+8.0 | 4 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-10-18 | 625 | R+4.0 | 0 |
| Ohio State University | 2000-10-12 | 1037 | D+2.0 | 6 |
| Ohio University | 2000-10-12 | 1037 | D+2.0 | 6 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-10-04 | 500 | R+1.0 | 3 |
| Columbus Dispatch | 2000-09-26 | 2468 | R+5.0 | 1 |
| Market Shares Corp. | 2000-09-14 | 500 | D+2.0 | 6 |
| American Research Group | 2000-09-13 | 600 | R+2.0 | 2 |
| Ohio University | 2000-09-13 | 298 | D+2.0 | 6 |
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-09-13 | 1891 | D+5.0 | 9 |
| University of Cincinnati (Ohio Poll) | 2000-09-11 | 628 | R+4.0 | 0 |
| EPIC-MRA | 2000-09-10 | 400 | R+2.0 | 2 |