Ohio 2026 elections
Everything on Ohio's 2026 ballot and in its congressional delegation, in one place: the Senate and Governor races, 6 competitive U.S. House districts, and its 2 senators and 15 representatives — each with a daily-updated forecast or voting record.
Statewide races
Competitive House districts (6)
District forecasts are fundamentals-based (no district polls yet) — presidential lean, incumbency, and the national environment. Click one to see why.
OH-10new mapnew 2026 map district · pres lean R+7.0Toss-up59% · D+1.5
No district polls yet, so this is a fundamentals forecast. The district's 2024 presidential lean is R+7.0, a newly drawn 2026 district. From lean and incumbency the model's baseline is R+3.4; the 2026 national environment (generic ballot D+5.2) shifts every district 4.9 points toward Democrats, giving a predicted D+1.5 — a 59% Democratic win.
OH-15new mapnew 2026 map district · pres lean R+10.0Toss-up62% · R+2.1
No district polls yet, so this is a fundamentals forecast. The district's 2024 presidential lean is R+10.0, a newly drawn 2026 district. From lean and incumbency the model's baseline is R+7.0; the 2026 national environment (generic ballot D+5.2) shifts every district 4.9 points toward Democrats, giving a predicted R+2.1 — a 62% Republican win.
OH-9new mapnew 2026 map district · pres lean R+11.0Lean R67% · R+3.0
No district polls yet, so this is a fundamentals forecast. The district's 2024 presidential lean is R+11.0, a newly drawn 2026 district. From lean and incumbency the model's baseline is R+7.9; the 2026 national environment (generic ballot D+5.2) shifts every district 4.9 points toward Democrats, giving a predicted R+3.0 — a 67% Republican win.
OH-7new mapnew 2026 map district · pres lean R+11.0Lean R67% · R+3.0
No district polls yet, so this is a fundamentals forecast. The district's 2024 presidential lean is R+11.0, a newly drawn 2026 district. From lean and incumbency the model's baseline is R+7.9; the 2026 national environment (generic ballot D+5.2) shifts every district 4.9 points toward Democrats, giving a predicted R+3.0 — a 67% Republican win.
OH-1new mapnew 2026 map district · pres lean R+3.0Lean D72% · D+4.0
No district polls yet, so this is a fundamentals forecast. The district's 2024 presidential lean is R+3.0, a newly drawn 2026 district. From lean and incumbency the model's baseline is R+0.9; the 2026 national environment (generic ballot D+5.2) shifts every district 4.9 points toward Democrats, giving a predicted D+4.0 — a 72% Democratic win.
OH-8new mapnew 2026 map district · pres lean R+15.0Likely R86% · R+7.4
No district polls yet, so this is a fundamentals forecast. The district's 2024 presidential lean is R+15.0, a newly drawn 2026 district. From lean and incumbency the model's baseline is R+12.3; the 2026 national environment (generic ballot D+5.2) shifts every district 4.9 points toward Democrats, giving a predicted R+7.4 — a 86% Republican win.