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Ohio 2026 elections
Everything on Ohio's 2026 ballot and in its congressional delegation, in one place: the Senate and Governor races, 5 competitive U.S. House districts, 2 senators and 15 representatives — each with a daily-updated forecast or voting record.
Statewide races
Competitive House districts (5)
District forecasts are fundamentals-based — presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment — with district polling blended in where it exists. Click one to see why.
A fundamentals forecast blended with 3 district polls. The district's 2024 presidential lean is R+11.2, held by Max Miller (R). From lean and incumbency the model's baseline is R+10.3; the 2026 national environment (generic ballot D+6.8) shifts every district 3.0 points toward Democrats; blended with the polling, the predicted margin is D+0.4 — a 53% Democratic win. Full race details →
A fundamentals forecast blended with 1 district poll. The district's 2024 presidential lean is R+7.9, held by Mike Turner (R). From lean and incumbency the model's baseline is R+7.0; the 2026 national environment (generic ballot D+6.8) shifts every district 3.0 points toward Democrats; blended with the polling, the predicted margin is R+1.3 — a 58% Republican win. Full race details →
A fundamentals forecast blended with 1 district poll. The district's 2024 presidential lean is R+10.7, held by Marcy Kaptur (D). From lean and incumbency the model's baseline is R+5.2; the 2026 national environment (generic ballot D+6.8) shifts every district 3.0 points toward Democrats; blended with the polling, the predicted margin is R+1.4 — a 59% Republican win. Full race details →
A fundamentals forecast blended with 3 district polls. The district's 2024 presidential lean is R+10.1, held by Mike Carey (R). From lean and incumbency the model's baseline is R+9.3; the 2026 national environment (generic ballot D+6.8) shifts every district 3.0 points toward Democrats; blended with the polling, the predicted margin is R+3.1 — a 72% Republican win. Full race details →
A fundamentals forecast blended with 1 district poll. The district's 2024 presidential lean is R+2.6, held by Greg Landsman (D). From lean and incumbency the model's baseline is D+2.8; the 2026 national environment (generic ballot D+6.8) shifts every district 3.0 points toward Democrats; blended with the polling, the predicted margin is D+4.8 — a 79% Democratic win. Full race details →
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives (15)
Greg LandsmanD · District 1David J. TaylorR · District 2Joyce BeattyD · District 3Jim JordanR · District 4Robert E. LattaR · District 5Michael A. RulliR · District 6Max L. MillerR · District 7Warren DavidsonR · District 8Marcy KapturD · District 9Michael R. TurnerR · District 10Shontel M. BrownD · District 11Troy BaldersonR · District 12Emilia Strong SykesD · District 13David P. JoyceR · District 14Mike CareyR · District 15
Past results
Every U.S. Senate election in Ohio we hold a result for. Both of the state's Senate seats, which are elected on separate cycles.
YearWinnerMargin
Past results
Every Ohio election for governor we hold a result for.
YearWinnerMargin