Toss-up · 2000 President

Pennsylvania President

In the 2000 Pennsylvania President race, Al Gore (D) won by about 4 points.

Actual result

D+4.2

Final polls said

D+1.2

23 late polls · ✓

VotePredictor Elections predicted

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Winner

Dem

"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).

Final rankings

How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).

Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result

#	Pollster	Final call	Miss	Called
1	Decision Forecasting	D+4.0	0.2	✓
2	Harris Insights & Analytics	D+5.0	0.8	✓
3	Lake Research Partners/The Tarrance Group	D+5.0	0.8	✓
4	Market Shares Corp.	D+5.0	0.8	✓
5	Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy	D+3.0	1.2	✓
6	Opinion Dynamics	D+3.0	1.2	✓
7	American Research Group	D+6.0	1.8	✓
8	University of Connecticut	D+6.0	1.8	✓
9	Zogby Analytics	D+8.0	3.8	✓
10	SurveyUSA	EVEN	4.2	✓
11	Lincoln Institute	EVEN	4.2	✗
12	Millersville University Center for Politics and Public Affairs	R+1.0	5.2	✗
13	Los Angeles Times	R+2.0	6.2	✗
14	Public Opinion Strategies	R+2.0	6.2	✗
15	West Chester University	D+11.0	6.8	✓
16	Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)	R+4.0	8.2	✗
17	EPIC-MRA	D+18.0	13.8	✓