Actual result
R+16.0
Final polls said
R+14.0
2 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+15.0 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | SurveyUSA | R+13.0 | 3.0 | ✓ |
| 3 | American Research Group | R+11.0 | 5.0 | ✓ |
Polls (4)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-10-29 | 625 | R+15.0 | 1 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-10-22 | 500 | R+13.0 | 3 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-09-29 | 625 | R+13.0 | 3 |
| American Research Group | 2000-09-13 | 600 | R+11.0 | 5 |