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South Carolina 2026 elections
Everything on South Carolina's 2026 ballot and in its congressional delegation, in one place: the Senate race, 1 competitive U.S. House district, and its 2 senators and 7 representatives — each with a daily-updated forecast or voting record.
Statewide races
Competitive House districts (1)
District forecasts are fundamentals-based (no district polls yet) — presidential lean, incumbency, and the national environment. Click one to see why.
SC-1Nancy Mace (R) · incumbent · pres lean R+12.0Lean R81% · R+6.0
Lean R
81% · R+6.0
No district polls yet, so this is a fundamentals forecast. The district's 2024 presidential lean is R+12.0, held by Nancy Mace (R). From lean and incumbency the model's baseline is R+10.9; the 2026 national environment (generic ballot D+5.2) shifts every district 4.9 points toward Democrats, giving a predicted R+6.0 — a 81% Republican win.