Actual result
R+3.9
Final polls said
R+2.1
11 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+4.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Ethridge & Associates LLC | R+3.0 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | Harris Insights & Analytics | R+2.0 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+1.0 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 5 | Zogby Analytics | R+7.0 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 6 | Multi-Quest International | D+2.0 | 5.9 | ✗ |
| 7 | American Research Group | D+6.0 | 9.9 | ✗ |
Polls (15)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-11-05 | 490 | R+7.0 | 3 |
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-11-03 | 5187 | R+2.0 | 2 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-11-02 | 625 | R+4.0 | 0 |
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-11-02 | 500 | EVEN | 4 |
| American Research Group | 2000-10-31 | 600 | D+6.0 | 10 |
| Ethridge & Associates LLC | 2000-10-31 | 550 | R+3.0 | 1 |
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-10-30 | 500 | R+3.0 | 1 |
| Multi-Quest International | 2000-10-29 | 403 | D+2.0 | 6 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-10-28 | 722 | R+1.0 | 3 |
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-10-27 | 500 | R+7.0 | 3 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-10-21 | 839 | R+4.0 | 0 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-09-26 | 625 | R+3.0 | 1 |
| American Research Group | 2000-09-13 | 600 | D+11.0 | 15 |
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-09-13 | 903 | R+3.0 | 1 |
| Ethridge & Associates LLC | 2000-09-08 | 300 | D+12.0 | 16 |