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Tennessee 2026 elections
Everything on Tennessee's 2026 ballot and in its congressional delegation, in one place: the Governor race, 2 competitive U.S. House districts, 2 senators and 9 representatives — each with a daily-updated forecast or voting record.
Statewide races
Competitive House districts (2)
District forecasts are fundamentals-based (no district polls yet) — presidential lean, incumbency, and the national environment. Click one to see why.
No district polls yet, so this is a fundamentals forecast. The district's 2024 presidential lean is R+21.4, a newly drawn 2026 district. From lean and incumbency the model's baseline is R+5.0; the 2026 national environment (generic ballot D+5.3) shifts every district 1.6 points toward Democrats, giving a predicted R+3.4 — a 69% Republican win. Full race details →
No district polls yet, so this is a fundamentals forecast. The district's 2024 presidential lean is R+23.4, a newly drawn 2026 district. From lean and incumbency the model's baseline is R+6.3; the 2026 national environment (generic ballot D+5.3) shifts every district 1.6 points toward Democrats, giving a predicted R+4.8 — a 75% Republican win. Full race details →
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives (9)
Past results
Every U.S. Senate election in Tennessee we hold a result for. Both of the state's Senate seats, which are elected on separate cycles.
YearWinnerMargin
Past results
Every Tennessee election for governor we hold a result for.
YearWinnerMargin