Actual result
R+21.3
Final polls said
R+28.0
4 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harris Insights & Analytics | R+18.0 | 3.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | American Research Group | R+28.0 | 6.7 | ✓ |
| 3 | Scripps Howard | R+30.0 | 8.7 | ✓ |
| 4 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+34.0 | 12.7 | ✓ |
Polls (6)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scripps Howard | 2000-11-03 | 800 | R+30.0 | 9 |
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-11-03 | 17936 | R+18.0 | 3 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-11-02 | 625 | R+34.0 | 13 |
| Scripps Howard | 2000-10-20 | 1000 | R+30.0 | 9 |
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-09-13 | 3631 | R+14.0 | 7 |
| American Research Group | 2000-09-13 | 600 | R+28.0 | 7 |