Texas 2026 elections
Everything on Texas's 2026 ballot and in its congressional delegation, in one place: the Senate and Governor races, 4 competitive U.S. House districts, and its 2 senators and 37 representatives — each with a daily-updated forecast or voting record.
Statewide races
Competitive House districts (4)
District forecasts are fundamentals-based (no district polls yet) — presidential lean, incumbency, and the national environment. Click one to see why.
TX-28new mapnew 2026 map district · pres lean R+11.0Lean R67% · R+3.0
No district polls yet, so this is a fundamentals forecast. The district's 2024 presidential lean is R+11.0, a newly drawn 2026 district. From lean and incumbency the model's baseline is R+7.9; the 2026 national environment (generic ballot D+5.2) shifts every district 4.9 points toward Democrats, giving a predicted R+3.0 — a 67% Republican win.
TX-34new mapnew 2026 map district · pres lean R+11.0Lean R67% · R+3.0
No district polls yet, so this is a fundamentals forecast. The district's 2024 presidential lean is R+11.0, a newly drawn 2026 district. From lean and incumbency the model's baseline is R+7.9; the 2026 national environment (generic ballot D+5.2) shifts every district 4.9 points toward Democrats, giving a predicted R+3.0 — a 67% Republican win.
TX-35new mapnew 2026 map district · pres lean R+11.0Lean R67% · R+3.0
No district polls yet, so this is a fundamentals forecast. The district's 2024 presidential lean is R+11.0, a newly drawn 2026 district. From lean and incumbency the model's baseline is R+7.9; the 2026 national environment (generic ballot D+5.2) shifts every district 4.9 points toward Democrats, giving a predicted R+3.0 — a 67% Republican win.
TX-23new mapnew 2026 map district · pres lean R+15.1Lean R77% · R+5.2
No district polls yet, so this is a fundamentals forecast. The district's 2024 presidential lean is R+15.1, a newly drawn 2026 district. From lean and incumbency the model's baseline is R+10.1; the 2026 national environment (generic ballot D+5.2) shifts every district 4.9 points toward Democrats, giving a predicted R+5.2 — a 77% Republican win.