VotePredictor2026

Updated 8 Sept 2026

Texas 2026 elections

Everything on Texas's 2026 ballot and in its congressional delegation, in one place: the Senate and Governor races, 2 competitive U.S. House districts, 2 senators and 37 representatives — each with a daily-updated forecast or voting record.

Statewide races

Competitive House districts (2)

District forecasts are fundamentals-based (no district polls yet) — presidential lean, incumbency, and the national environment. Click one to see why.

TX-34new map

Vicente Gonzalez (D) vs Eric Flores (R) · pres lean R+10.2

Toss-up

60% · D+1.8

No district polls yet, so this is a fundamentals forecast. The district's 2024 presidential lean is R+10.2, a newly drawn 2026 district. From lean and incumbency the model's baseline is D+0.2; the 2026 national environment (generic ballot D+5.3) shifts every district 1.6 points toward Democrats, giving a predicted D+1.8 — a 60% Democratic win. Full race details →

TX-28new map

Henry Cuellar (D) vs Tano Tijerina (R) · pres lean R+10.5

Lean D

76% · D+4.9

No district polls yet, so this is a fundamentals forecast. The district's 2024 presidential lean is R+10.5, a newly drawn 2026 district. From lean and incumbency the model's baseline is D+3.3; the 2026 national environment (generic ballot D+5.3) shifts every district 1.6 points toward Democrats, giving a predicted D+4.9 — a 76% Democratic win. Full race details →

U.S. Senators

John CornynR · U.S. Senator Ted CruzR · U.S. Senator

U.S. Representatives (37)

Nathaniel MoranR · District 1 Dan CrenshawR · District 2 Keith SelfR · District 3 Pat FallonR · District 4 Lance GoodenR · District 5 Jake EllzeyR · District 6 Lizzie FletcherD · District 7 Morgan LuttrellR · District 8 Al GreenD · District 9 Michael T. McCaulR · District 10 August PflugerR · District 11 Craig A. GoldmanR · District 12 Ronny JacksonR · District 13 Randy K. Weber, Sr.R · District 14 Monica De La CruzR · District 15 Veronica EscobarD · District 16 Pete SessionsR · District 17 Christian D. MenefeeD · District 18 Jodey C. ArringtonR · District 19 Joaquin CastroD · District 20 Chip RoyR · District 21 Troy E. NehlsR · District 22 Beth Van DuyneR · District 24 Roger WilliamsR · District 25 Brandon GillR · District 26 Michael CloudR · District 27 Henry CuellarD · District 28 Sylvia R. GarciaD · District 29 Jasmine CrockettD · District 30 John R. CarterR · District 31 Julie JohnsonD · District 32 Marc A. VeaseyD · District 33 Vicente GonzalezD · District 34 Greg CasarD · District 35 Brian BabinR · District 36 Lloyd DoggettD · District 37 Wesley HuntR · District 38

Past results

Every U.S. Senate election in Texas we hold a result for. Both of the state's Senate seats, which are elected on separate cycles.

YearWinnerMargin

2024Ted Cruz(R)R+8.5

2020John Cornyn(R)R+9.6

2018Ted Cruz(R)R+2.6

2014John Cornyn(R)R+27.2

2012Ted Cruz(R)R+15.8

2008John Cornyn(R)R+12.0

2006Kay Bailey Hutchison(R)R+25.6

2002John Cornyn(R)R+12.0

2000Kay Bailey Hutchison(R)R+32.8

Past results

Every Texas election for governor we hold a result for.

YearWinnerMargin

2022Greg Abbott(R)R+10.9

2018Greg Abbott(R)R+13.3

2014Greg Abbott(R)R+20.4

2010Rick Perry(R)R+12.7

2006Rick Perry(R)R+9.2

2002Rick Perry(R)R+17.9

1998George W. Bush(R)R+37.1

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