Actual result
R+8.0
Final polls said
R+8.3
11 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+8.0 | 0.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | American Research Group | R+9.0 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 3 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+10.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 4 | Harris Insights & Analytics | R+6.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 5 | Richmond Times-Dispatch | R+6.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 6 | SurveyUSA | R+11.0 | 3.0 | ✓ |
| 7 | ABC News/The Washington Post | R+4.0 | 4.0 | ✓ |
| 8 | Virginia Commonwealth University L. Douglas Wilder School of Government and Public Affairs | R+14.0 | 6.0 | ✓ |
| 9 | Roanoke College Institute for Policy and Opinion Research | R+2.0 | 6.0 | ✓ |
Polls (19)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA | 2000-11-04 | 500 | R+11.0 | 3 |
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-11-03 | 7488 | R+6.0 | 2 |
| Richmond Times-Dispatch | 2000-10-30 | 735 | R+6.0 | 2 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-10-30 | 897 | R+10.0 | 2 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-10-30 | 625 | R+8.0 | 0 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-10-29 | 500 | R+9.0 | 1 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-10-24 | 1100 | R+12.0 | 4 |
| ABC News/The Washington Post | 2000-10-24 | 1009 | R+4.0 | 4 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-10-24 | 627 | R+7.0 | 1 |
| Virginia Commonwealth University L. Douglas Wilder School of Government and Public Affairs | 2000-10-21 | 596 | R+14.0 | 6 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-10-15 | 500 | R+4.0 | 4 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-10-08 | 500 | R+6.0 | 2 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-10-01 | 500 | R+14.0 | 6 |
| Richmond Times-Dispatch | 2000-09-27 | 507 | R+7.0 | 1 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-09-24 | 500 | R+6.0 | 2 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-09-15 | 622 | R+10.0 | 2 |
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-09-13 | 2081 | R+1.0 | 7 |
| American Research Group | 2000-09-13 | 600 | R+9.0 | 1 |
| Roanoke College Institute for Policy and Opinion Research | 2000-09-13 | 402 | R+2.0 | 6 |