Actual result
D+0.2
Final polls said
R+0.5
11 late polls · ✗
Model predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zogby Analytics | EVEN | 0.2 | ✗ |
| 2 | Harris Insights & Analytics | EVEN | 0.2 | ✗ |
| 3 | Lake Research Partners/The Tarrance Group | D+1.0 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 4 | American Research Group | D+4.0 | 3.8 | ✓ |
| 5 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+4.0 | 4.2 | ✗ |
| 6 | Market Shares Corp. | R+5.0 | 5.2 | ✗ |
| 7 | St. Norbert College Strategic Research Institute | D+7.0 | 6.8 | ✓ |
Polls (14)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-11-05 | 1000 | R+4.0 | 4 |
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-11-05 | 492 | EVEN | 0 |
| Market Shares Corp. | 2000-11-04 | 400 | R+5.0 | 5 |
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-11-03 | 5168 | EVEN | 0 |
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-11-02 | 500 | R+1.0 | 1 |
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-10-30 | 500 | D+3.0 | 3 |
| Market Shares Corp. | 2000-10-27 | 500 | R+7.0 | 7 |
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-10-27 | 500 | D+9.0 | 9 |
| Lake Research Partners/The Tarrance Group | 2000-10-24 | 400 | D+1.0 | 1 |
| St. Norbert College Strategic Research Institute | 2000-10-21 | 413 | D+7.0 | 7 |
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-10-20 | 587 | R+9.0 | 9 |
| Market Shares Corp. | 2000-09-19 | 500 | D+5.0 | 5 |
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-09-13 | 1375 | D+4.0 | 4 |
| American Research Group | 2000-09-13 | 600 | D+4.0 | 4 |