Actual result
D+19.3
Final polls said
D+15.6
7 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Field Research Corp. (Field Poll) | D+20.0 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 2 | Public Policy Institute of California | D+17.0 | 2.3 | ✓ |
| 3 | Los Angeles Times | D+25.0 | 5.7 | ✓ |
| 4 | Zogby Analytics | D+13.0 | 6.3 | ✓ |
| 5 | Harris Insights & Analytics | D+12.0 | 7.3 | ✓ |
| 6 | SurveyUSA | D+12.0 | 7.3 | ✓ |
| 7 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+10.0 | 9.3 | ✓ |
Polls (10)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-11-03 | 24965 | D+12.0 | 7 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-10-31 | 530 | D+12.0 | 7 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-10-29 | 1536 | D+10.0 | 9 |
| Field Research Corp. (Field Poll) | 2000-10-29 | 900 | D+20.0 | 1 |
| Los Angeles Times | 2000-10-21 | 852 | D+25.0 | 6 |
| Public Policy Institute of California | 2000-10-15 | 1096 | D+17.0 | 2 |
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-10-15 | 679 | D+13.0 | 6 |
| Field Research Corp. (Field Poll) | 2000-10-03 | 679 | D+20.0 | 1 |
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-09-13 | 5242 | D+10.0 | 9 |
| Public Policy Institute of California | 2000-09-08 | 1099 | D+17.0 | 2 |