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Toss-up · 2000 Senate
Florida Senate
In the 2000 Florida Senate race, Bill Nelson (D) won by about 5 points.
Actual result
D+4.8
Final polls said
D+4.3
14 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+5.0 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | Harris Insights & Analytics | D+4.0 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | Fleming & Associates | D+3.0 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 4 | SurveyUSA | D+7.0 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 5 | The Florida Poll | D+7.0 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 6 | Zogby Analytics | D+2.0 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 7 | CBS News/The New York Times | D+9.0 | 4.2 | ✓ |
| 8 | McLaughlin & Associates | EVEN | 4.8 | ✗ |
| 9 | University of Connecticut | EVEN | 4.8 | ✗ |
| 10 | SEA Polling & Strategic Design | D+11.0 | 6.2 | ✓ |
| 11 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+3.0 | 7.8 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
23 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Zogby Analytics2000-11-053
SurveyUSA2000-11-052
Harris Insights & Analytics2000-11-031
Zogby Analytics2000-11-020
SurveyUSA2000-11-013
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2000 Florida Senate race?
Bill Nelson (D) won, by about 4.8 points (D+4.8).
When was the 2000 Florida Senate election held?
It was held in November 2000.