Actual result
D+4.8
Final polls said
D+4.3
14 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+5.0 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | Harris Insights & Analytics | D+4.0 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | Fleming & Associates | D+3.0 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 4 | SurveyUSA | D+7.0 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 5 | The Florida Poll | D+7.0 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 6 | Zogby Analytics | D+2.0 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 7 | CBS News/The New York Times | D+9.0 | 4.2 | ✓ |
| 8 | McLaughlin & Associates | EVEN | 4.8 | ✗ |
| 9 | University of Connecticut | EVEN | 4.8 | ✗ |
| 10 | SEA Polling & Strategic Design | D+11.0 | 6.2 | ✓ |
| 11 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+3.0 | 7.8 | ✗ |
Polls (23)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-11-05 | 593 | D+2.0 | 3 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-11-05 | 500 | D+7.0 | 2 |
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-11-03 | 16996 | D+4.0 | 1 |
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-11-02 | 600 | D+5.0 | 0 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-11-01 | 500 | D+2.0 | 3 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-11-01 | 577 | R+3.0 | 8 |
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-10-30 | 600 | D+5.0 | 0 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-10-30 | 812 | D+5.0 | 0 |
| The Florida Poll | 2000-10-28 | 824 | D+7.0 | 2 |
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-10-27 | 600 | D+10.0 | 5 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-10-25 | 864 | D+4.0 | 1 |
| CBS News/The New York Times | 2000-10-23 | 514 | D+9.0 | 4 |
| Fleming & Associates | 2000-10-20 | 606 | D+3.0 | 2 |
| McLaughlin & Associates | 2000-10-17 | 600 | EVEN | 5 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-10-14 | 500 | D+2.0 | 3 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-10-11 | 679 | D+5.0 | 0 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-10-06 | 800 | D+7.0 | 2 |
| SEA Polling & Strategic Design | 2000-10-05 | 600 | D+11.0 | 6 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-09-23 | 500 | D+1.0 | 4 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-09-20 | 679 | D+6.0 | 1 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-09-15 | 800 | D+8.0 | 3 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-09-10 | 679 | D+6.0 | 1 |
| University of Connecticut | 2000-09-09 | 505 | EVEN | 5 |