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Toss-up · 2000 Senate
Florida Senate
In the 2000 Florida Senate race, Bill Nelson (D) won by about 5 points.
Actual result
D+4.8
Final polls said
D+4.3
14 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+5.0 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | Harris Insights & Analytics | D+4.0 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | Fleming & Associates | D+3.0 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 4 | SurveyUSA | D+7.0 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 5 | The Florida Poll | D+7.0 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 6 | Zogby Analytics | D+2.0 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 7 | CBS News/The New York Times | D+9.0 | 4.2 | ✓ |
| 8 | McLaughlin & Associates | EVEN | 4.8 | ✗ |
| 9 | University of Connecticut | EVEN | 4.8 | ✗ |
| 10 | SEA Polling & Strategic Design | D+11.0 | 6.2 | ✓ |
| 11 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+3.0 | 7.8 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
23 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Zogby Analytics2000-11-053
SurveyUSA2000-11-052
Harris Insights & Analytics2000-11-031
Zogby Analytics2000-11-020
SurveyUSA2000-11-013
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2000 Florida Senate race?
Bill Nelson (D) won, by about 4.8 points (D+4.8).
When was the 2000 Florida Senate election held?
It was held in November 2000.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.