Actual result
D+1.6
Final polls said
R+2.8
17 late polls · ✗
Model predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harris Insights & Analytics | EVEN | 1.6 | ✗ |
| 2 | Zogby Analytics | D+4.0 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 3 | Mitchell Research & Communications | R+3.0 | 4.6 | ✗ |
| 4 | EPIC-MRA | R+5.0 | 6.6 | ✗ |
| 5 | SurveyUSA | R+6.0 | 7.6 | ✗ |
| 6 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+6.0 | 7.6 | ✗ |
| 7 | Marketing Resource Group (MRG) | R+8.0 | 9.6 | ✗ |
| 8 | CBS News/The New York Times | R+11.0 | 12.6 | ✗ |
Polls (27)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-11-05 | 593 | D+4.0 | 2 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-11-04 | 600 | R+6.0 | 8 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-11-04 | 787 | R+6.0 | 8 |
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-11-03 | 6748 | EVEN | 2 |
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-11-02 | 600 | EVEN | 2 |
| EPIC-MRA | 2000-11-01 | 500 | R+5.0 | 7 |
| Mitchell Research & Communications | 2000-11-01 | 800 | R+3.0 | 5 |
| Mitchell Research & Communications | 2000-10-30 | 800 | R+2.0 | 4 |
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-10-30 | 600 | D+9.0 | 7 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-10-29 | 956 | R+1.0 | 3 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-10-28 | 600 | R+2.0 | 4 |
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-10-27 | 600 | D+2.0 | 0 |
| Marketing Resource Group (MRG) | 2000-10-25 | 500 | R+8.0 | 10 |
| EPIC-MRA | 2000-10-24 | 500 | EVEN | 2 |
| Mitchell Research & Communications | 2000-10-24 | 800 | R+3.0 | 5 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-10-18 | 626 | R+19.0 | 21 |
| EPIC-MRA | 2000-10-18 | 500 | R+7.0 | 9 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-10-14 | 679 | R+8.0 | 10 |
| Mitchell Research & Communications | 2000-10-11 | 800 | R+17.0 | 19 |
| Marketing Resource Group (MRG) | 2000-10-11 | 500 | R+14.0 | 16 |
| EPIC-MRA | 2000-10-11 | 500 | R+10.0 | 12 |
| EPIC-MRA | 2000-09-27 | 500 | R+9.0 | 11 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-09-24 | 600 | R+1.0 | 3 |
| CBS News/The New York Times | 2000-09-24 | 1005 | R+11.0 | 13 |
| Marketing Resource Group (MRG) | 2000-09-15 | 500 | R+12.0 | 14 |
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-09-13 | 1458 | EVEN | 2 |
| EPIC-MRA | 2000-09-10 | 500 | R+12.0 | 14 |