Actual result
D+5.5
Final polls said
D+8.7
6 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+5.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Minneapolis Star Tribune | D+9.0 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | Harris Insights & Analytics | D+10.0 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 4 | Tarrance Group | D+1.0 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 5 | St. Cloud State University | D+15.0 | 9.5 | ✓ |
Polls (8)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-11-03 | 3793 | D+10.0 | 4 |
| Minneapolis Star Tribune | 2000-11-02 | 900 | D+9.0 | 3 |
| Tarrance Group | 2000-11-01 | 450 | D+1.0 | 5 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-10-26 | 625 | D+5.0 | 1 |
| St. Cloud State University | 2000-10-19 | 514 | D+15.0 | 9 |
| Minneapolis Star Tribune | 2000-10-16 | 900 | D+12.0 | 6 |
| Minneapolis Star Tribune | 2000-09-25 | 900 | D+14.0 | 8 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-09-24 | 625 | D+5.0 | 1 |