← all past elections
Toss-up · 2000 Senate
Minnesota Senate
In the 2000 Minnesota Senate race, Mark Dayton (D) won by about 6 points.
Actual result
D+5.5
Final polls said
D+8.7
6 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+5.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Minneapolis Star Tribune | D+9.0 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | Harris Insights & Analytics | D+10.0 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 4 | Tarrance Group | D+1.0 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 5 | St. Cloud State University | D+15.0 | 9.5 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
8 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Harris Insights & Analytics2000-11-034
Minneapolis Star Tribune2000-11-023
Tarrance Group2000-11-015
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2000-10-261
St. Cloud State University2000-10-199
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2000 Minnesota Senate race?
Mark Dayton (D) won, by about 5.5 points (D+5.5).
When was the 2000 Minnesota Senate election held?
It was held in November 2000.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.