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Toss-up · 2000 Senate
New Jersey Senate
In the 2000 New Jersey Senate race, Jon Stevens Corzine (D) won by about 3 points.
Actual result
D+3.0
Final polls said
D+3.7
11 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harris Insights & Analytics | D+4.0 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | Gannett New Jersey | D+5.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 3 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+1.0 | 4.0 | ✗ |
| 4 | SurveyUSA | D+8.0 | 5.0 | ✓ |
| 5 | Quinnipiac University | R+2.0 | 5.0 | ✗ |
| 6 | Rutgers University Eagleton Center for Public Interest Polling | D+10.0 | 7.0 | ✓ |
| 7 | Tarrance Group | R+4.0 | 7.0 | ✗ |
| 8 | The New York Times | D+12.0 | 9.0 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
18 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2000-11-054
Harris Insights & Analytics2000-11-031
Quinnipiac University2000-11-035
Gannett New Jersey2000-11-032
Tarrance Group2000-10-317
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2000 New Jersey Senate race?
Jon Stevens Corzine (D) won, by about 3.0 points (D+3.0).
When was the 2000 New Jersey Senate election held?
It was held in November 2000.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.