Actual result
D+23.4
Final polls said
D+28.0
2 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harris Insights & Analytics | D+26.0 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | Research & Polling Inc. | D+29.0 | 5.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+30.0 | 6.6 | ✓ |
Polls (5)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-11-03 | 1656 | D+26.0 | 3 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-11-01 | 425 | D+30.0 | 7 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-09-15 | 425 | D+28.0 | 5 |
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-09-13 | 608 | D+23.0 | 0 |
| Research & Polling Inc. | 2000-09-10 | 553 | D+29.0 | 6 |