Actual result
R+24.1
Final polls said
R+25.9
12 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+24.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Zogby Analytics | R+25.0 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | Harris Insights & Analytics | R+23.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+26.0 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 5 | Columbus Dispatch | R+27.0 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 6 | EPIC-MRA | R+21.0 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 7 | University of Cincinnati (Ohio Poll) | R+28.9 | 4.8 | ✓ |
| 8 | SurveyUSA | R+19.0 | 5.1 | ✓ |
| 9 | Ohio State University | R+14.0 | 10.1 | ✓ |
Polls (18)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-11-05 | 589 | R+25.0 | 1 |
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-11-03 | 10956 | R+23.0 | 1 |
| University of Cincinnati (Ohio Poll) | 2000-11-03 | 1179 | R+28.9 | 5 |
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-11-02 | 600 | R+32.0 | 8 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-11-01 | 625 | R+24.0 | 0 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-11-01 | 500 | R+19.0 | 5 |
| Columbus Dispatch | 2000-10-31 | 2050 | R+27.0 | 3 |
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-10-30 | 600 | R+33.0 | 9 |
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-10-27 | 600 | R+25.0 | 1 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-10-23 | 929 | R+26.0 | 2 |
| University of Cincinnati (Ohio Poll) | 2000-10-22 | 608 | R+25.0 | 1 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-10-18 | 625 | R+23.0 | 1 |
| Ohio State University | 2000-10-12 | 1037 | R+14.0 | 10 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-10-04 | 500 | R+17.0 | 7 |
| Columbus Dispatch | 2000-09-15 | 679 | R+25.0 | 1 |
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-09-13 | 1891 | R+12.0 | 12 |
| University of Cincinnati (Ohio Poll) | 2000-09-11 | 628 | R+32.0 | 8 |
| EPIC-MRA | 2000-09-10 | 400 | R+21.0 | 3 |