Actual result
R+6.9
Final polls said
R+17.6
15 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EPIC-MRA | R+4.0 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | Lincoln Institute | R+11.0 | 4.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+14.0 | 7.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | SurveyUSA | R+16.0 | 9.1 | ✓ |
| 5 | Harris Insights & Analytics | R+17.0 | 10.1 | ✓ |
| 6 | Zogby Analytics | R+18.0 | 11.1 | ✓ |
| 7 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+19.0 | 12.1 | ✓ |
| 8 | University of Connecticut | R+19.0 | 12.1 | ✓ |
| 9 | Decision Forecasting | R+21.0 | 14.1 | ✓ |
| 10 | Millersville University Center for Politics and Public Affairs | R+21.0 | 14.1 | ✓ |
| 11 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+22.0 | 15.1 | ✓ |
Polls (21)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-11-05 | 1091 | R+14.0 | 7 |
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-11-05 | 592 | R+18.0 | 11 |
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-11-02 | 600 | R+16.0 | 9 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-11-02 | 644 | R+20.0 | 13 |
| Decision Forecasting | 2000-11-01 | 1032 | R+21.0 | 14 |
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-11-01 | 679 | R+17.0 | 10 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-11-01 | 800 | R+16.0 | 9 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-11-01 | 625 | R+19.0 | 12 |
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-10-30 | 600 | R+17.0 | 10 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-10-29 | 967 | R+18.0 | 11 |
| Millersville University Center for Politics and Public Affairs | 2000-10-28 | 550 | R+21.0 | 14 |
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-10-27 | 600 | R+21.0 | 14 |
| Public Opinion Strategies | 2000-10-22 | 500 | R+22.0 | 15 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-10-18 | 1043 | R+13.0 | 6 |
| Lincoln Institute | 2000-10-17 | 728 | R+11.0 | 4 |
| University of Connecticut | 2000-10-06 | 614 | R+19.0 | 12 |
| Millersville University Center for Politics and Public Affairs | 2000-09-30 | 550 | R+18.0 | 11 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-09-27 | 679 | R+18.0 | 11 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-09-15 | 625 | R+18.0 | 11 |
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-09-13 | 1777 | R+10.0 | 3 |
| EPIC-MRA | 2000-09-10 | 400 | R+4.0 | 3 |