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Toss-up · 2000 Senate
Pennsylvania Senate
In the 2000 Pennsylvania Senate race, Rick Santorum (R) won by about 7 points.
Actual result
R+6.9
Final polls said
R+17.6
15 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EPIC-MRA | R+4.0 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | Lincoln Institute | R+11.0 | 4.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+14.0 | 7.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | SurveyUSA | R+16.0 | 9.1 | ✓ |
| 5 | Harris Insights & Analytics | R+17.0 | 10.1 | ✓ |
| 6 | Zogby Analytics | R+18.0 | 11.1 | ✓ |
| 7 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+19.0 | 12.1 | ✓ |
| 8 | University of Connecticut | R+19.0 | 12.1 | ✓ |
| 9 | Decision Forecasting | R+21.0 | 14.1 | ✓ |
| 10 | Millersville University Center for Politics and Public Affairs | R+21.0 | 14.1 | ✓ |
| 11 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+22.0 | 15.1 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
21 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2000-11-057
Zogby Analytics2000-11-0511
Zogby Analytics2000-11-029
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2000-11-0213
Decision Forecasting2000-11-0114
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2000 Pennsylvania Senate race?
Rick Santorum (R) won, by about 6.9 points (R+6.9).
When was the 2000 Pennsylvania Senate election held?
It was held in November 2000.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.