Actual result
R+32.9
Final polls said
R+28.8
8 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+32.0 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | Zogby Analytics | R+34.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | Harris Insights & Analytics | R+27.0 | 5.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+26.0 | 6.9 | ✓ |
Polls (10)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-11-05 | 490 | R+34.0 | 1 |
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-11-03 | 5165 | R+27.0 | 6 |
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-11-02 | 500 | R+19.0 | 14 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-11-02 | 625 | R+32.0 | 1 |
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-10-30 | 500 | R+29.0 | 4 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-10-28 | 722 | R+26.0 | 7 |
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-10-27 | 500 | R+34.0 | 1 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-10-21 | 839 | R+29.0 | 4 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-09-15 | 625 | R+39.0 | 6 |
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-09-13 | 903 | R+28.0 | 5 |