Actual result
R+32.8
Final polls said
R+32.0
2 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harris Insights & Analytics | R+32.0 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | Scripps Howard | R+32.0 | 0.8 | ✓ |
Polls (3)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-11-03 | 17907 | R+32.0 | 1 |
| Scripps Howard | 2000-11-01 | 844 | R+32.0 | 1 |
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-09-13 | 3631 | R+26.0 | 7 |