Actual result
R+4.6
Final polls said
R+6.0
11 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harris Insights & Analytics | R+5.0 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+5.0 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 3 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+6.0 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 4 | Roanoke College Institute for Policy and Opinion Research | R+6.0 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 5 | Richmond Times-Dispatch | R+2.0 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 6 | ABC News/The Washington Post | R+2.0 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 7 | SurveyUSA | R+10.0 | 5.4 | ✓ |
| 8 | Virginia Commonwealth University L. Douglas Wilder School of Government and Public Affairs | R+15.0 | 10.4 | ✓ |
Polls (18)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA | 2000-11-04 | 500 | R+10.0 | 5 |
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-11-03 | 7462 | R+5.0 | 0 |
| Richmond Times-Dispatch | 2000-10-30 | 735 | R+2.0 | 3 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-10-30 | 897 | R+6.0 | 1 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-10-30 | 625 | R+5.0 | 0 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-10-29 | 500 | R+7.0 | 2 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-10-24 | 625 | R+3.0 | 2 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-10-24 | 1100 | R+8.0 | 3 |
| ABC News/The Washington Post | 2000-10-24 | 1009 | R+2.0 | 3 |
| Virginia Commonwealth University L. Douglas Wilder School of Government and Public Affairs | 2000-10-21 | 596 | R+15.0 | 10 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-10-15 | 500 | R+3.0 | 2 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-10-08 | 500 | R+4.0 | 1 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-10-01 | 500 | R+15.0 | 10 |
| Richmond Times-Dispatch | 2000-09-27 | 507 | R+3.0 | 2 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-09-24 | 500 | R+14.0 | 9 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-09-15 | 625 | R+7.0 | 2 |
| Roanoke College Institute for Policy and Opinion Research | 2000-09-13 | 399 | R+6.0 | 1 |
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-09-13 | 2081 | R+6.0 | 1 |