Actual result
D+24.5
Final polls said
D+30.7
9 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harris Insights & Analytics | D+21.0 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Zogby Analytics | D+29.0 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+17.0 | 7.5 | ✓ |
| 4 | Market Shares Corp. | D+33.0 | 8.5 | ✓ |
| 5 | University of Wisconsin Survey Center | D+43.0 | 18.5 | ✓ |
Polls (10)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-11-05 | 1000 | D+17.0 | 8 |
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-11-05 | 492 | D+29.0 | 4 |
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-11-03 | 5163 | D+21.0 | 4 |
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-11-02 | 500 | D+29.0 | 4 |
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-10-30 | 500 | D+27.0 | 2 |
| Market Shares Corp. | 2000-10-27 | 500 | D+33.0 | 8 |
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-10-27 | 500 | D+34.0 | 9 |
| University of Wisconsin Survey Center | 2000-10-20 | 587 | D+43.0 | 18 |
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-10-20 | 587 | D+43.0 | 18 |
| Market Shares Corp. | 2000-09-15 | 500 | D+41.0 | 16 |