Actual result
D+14.8
Final polls said
D+15.4
9 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | D+14.0 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | CBS News/The New York Times | D+13.0 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | Rutgers University Eagleton Center for Public Interest Polling | D+17.0 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 4 | Fairleigh Dickinson University | D+18.0 | 3.2 | ✓ |
| 5 | McLaughlin & Associates | D+11.0 | 3.8 | ✓ |
| 6 | Quinnipiac University | D+9.0 | 5.8 | ✓ |
| 7 | Gannett New Jersey | D+22.0 | 7.2 | ✓ |
Polls (13)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gannett New Jersey | 2001-11-02 | 649 | D+22.0 | 7 |
| SurveyUSA | 2001-11-02 | 800 | D+14.0 | 1 |
| Rutgers University Eagleton Center for Public Interest Polling | 2001-11-01 | 745 | D+17.0 | 2 |
| Quinnipiac University | 2001-11-01 | 505 | D+9.0 | 6 |
| Fairleigh Dickinson University | 2001-10-30 | 600 | D+18.0 | 3 |
| Quinnipiac University | 2001-10-26 | 505 | D+17.0 | 2 |
| Quinnipiac University | 2001-10-25 | 505 | D+17.0 | 2 |
| CBS News/The New York Times | 2001-10-22 | 760 | D+13.0 | 2 |
| Rutgers University Eagleton Center for Public Interest Polling | 2001-10-15 | 666 | D+12.0 | 3 |
| Fairleigh Dickinson University | 2001-10-05 | 600 | D+17.0 | 2 |
| Rutgers University Eagleton Center for Public Interest Polling | 2001-09-24 | 666 | D+16.0 | 1 |
| McLaughlin & Associates | 2001-09-23 | 600 | D+11.0 | 4 |
| Quinnipiac University | 2001-09-21 | 666 | D+14.0 | 1 |