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Toss-up · 2002 Governor
Hawaii Governor
In the 2002 Hawaii Governor race, Linda Lingle (R) won by about 5 points.
Actual result
R+4.5
Final polls said
R+1.7
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ward Research | R+1.0 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Market Trends Pacific | EVEN | 4.5 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
4 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Ward Research2002-10-284
Ward Research2002-10-211
Market Trends Pacific2002-10-215
Ward Research2002-09-253
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2002 Hawaii Governor race?
Linda Lingle (R) won, by about 4.5 points (R+4.5).
When was the 2002 Hawaii Governor election held?
It was held in November 2002.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.