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Toss-up · 2002 Governor
Illinois Governor
In the 2002 Illinois Governor race, Rod Blagojevich (D) won by about 7 points.
Actual result
D+7.1
Final polls said
D+9.9
11 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Escalent | D+6.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Illinois Wesleyan University Department of Political Science | D+6.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+9.0 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | Richard Day Research | D+9.0 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 5 | Market Shares Corp. | D+10.0 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 6 | KRC Research | D+12.0 | 4.9 | ✓ |
| 7 | SurveyUSA | D+14.0 | 6.9 | ✓ |
| 8 | Zogby Analytics | R+0.3 | 7.4 | ✗ |
| 9 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+15.0 | 7.9 | ✓ |
| 10 | Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group | D+16.0 | 8.9 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
18 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Zogby Analytics2002-10-317
SurveyUSA2002-10-297
Escalent2002-10-281
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group2002-10-289
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2002-10-268
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2002 Illinois Governor race?
Rod Blagojevich (D) won, by about 7.1 points (D+7.1).
When was the 2002 Illinois Governor election held?
It was held in November 2002.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.