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Toss-up · 2002 Governor

Illinois Governor

In the 2002 Illinois Governor race, Rod Blagojevich (D) won by about 7 points.

Actual result
D+7.1
Final polls said
D+9.9
11 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem

"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →

Final rankings

How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).

Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result

#PollsterFinal callMissCalled
1EscalentD+6.01.1✓
2Illinois Wesleyan University Department of Political ScienceD+6.01.1✓
3Mason-Dixon Polling & StrategyD+9.01.9✓
4Richard Day ResearchD+9.01.9✓
5Market Shares Corp.D+10.02.9✓
6KRC ResearchD+12.04.9✓
7SurveyUSAD+14.06.9✓
8Zogby AnalyticsR+0.37.4✗
9Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)D+15.07.9✓
10Garin-Hart-Yang Research GroupD+16.08.9✓

The polls behind it

18 polls · newest first
PollsterDateMiss
Zogby Analytics2002-10-317
SurveyUSA2002-10-297
Escalent2002-10-281
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group2002-10-289
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2002-10-268

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 2002 Illinois Governor race?

Rod Blagojevich (D) won, by about 7.1 points (D+7.1).

When was the 2002 Illinois Governor election held?

It was held in November 2002.

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